Fiber Optics News

METRO DWDM FUTURE UNCLEAR.

One of the biggest uncertainties in optical networking is whether sales of dense wavelength division multiplexing equipment will justify its creation in the metropolitan market. At issue is whether regional Bell operating companies, competitive local exchange carriers and Internet service providers will invest in metro DWDM given their heavy dependence on sonet.

Data gathered by analysts of Pioneer Consulting of Cambridge, Mass., indicates the market for metro DWDM equipment should grow from a modest $115 million in 1999 to more than $923 million by 2003.

"What we ended up thinking in the study was that the growth rate was going to be pretty strong," says Scott Clavenna, principal analyst at Pioneer Consulting who authored "Metro Optical Networks: Metro DWDM and the New Public Network."

"But it will never be as dramatic as long-haul was over the last several years," Clavenna says. …

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